TargetEarly posted updates on late Saturday night and they look great!
Democrats lead 50-39 in early vote.
What does that mean? Doesn’t this just mean that we always vote early? Well, we can compare it to 2018 and 2020 to find out. A Blue wave would look like a higher proportion of Democrats versus Republicans at this point relative to those years. Even matching those numbers would be good because we did pretty darn well in 2018 and 2020.
So, we have outvoted them 50-39. What does that mean?
It is 10 pts better than 2018 and 3 pts better than 2020.
We have a 4.2 million vote lead at this point.
Maybe the pollsters are wrong and people haven’t forgotten about overturning Roe and threatening our democracy. Maybe the Democratic energy we saw in 5 House specials and in Kansas is showing up in the election.
You remember Kansas right? It is where the polls said it would be dead even and then we won by 14 points.
Need more inspiration?
We’ve got this guy out there fighting for us. Watch this and tell me you don’t feel inspired:
Worried that the good numbers are a mirage that will disappear on election day with the Rs show up? Do you believe the polls more than the actual numbers? Well here is a poll of when people plan to vote, and Democrats are 14% MORE likely to say they will vote on election day than they were in 2020. So, yes, the Rs will show up more on election day than we will, but some of us will be there too.
The red wave narrative is being pushed by R leaning pollsters flooding the zone with R leaning polls. They learned how groups like 538 work — by averaging polls — and they are gaming the system. Even the two Nates admitted that the polls they are using are partisan polls pushed by Republicans. These are not “internal polls” run by campaigns. These are specially run groups with an R agenda flooding the market with their numbers.
Look, no one knows what will happen on election day. There will some kind of red wave that day — they do vote more on election day than we do. But will it be enough to dwarf the Blue Wave we are seeing right now and the numbers we can bring out on election day? We have the power to make sure that it does not.
Things are likely to be close and we need you in order to win!
Here is what you can do in these last few critical days:
These early numbers are nothing short of thrilling. They should have us all energized and ready to put all we can into these last few days!
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Let’s close strong. With hard work, we really can do this.