|
All |
Gender |
Age |
Race |
Male |
Female |
18-34 |
35-49 |
50-64 |
65+ |
White |
Black |
Asian/
Other |
Hillary Clinton |
61% |
57% |
64% |
50% |
60% |
63% |
69% |
57% |
72% |
61% |
Bernie Sanders |
30% |
33% |
28% |
45% |
27% |
30% |
23% |
35% |
17% |
36% |
Undecided |
9% |
10% |
8% |
5% |
13% |
7% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
3% |
Composition of likely/actual
Dem. primary voters |
100% |
43% |
57% |
19% |
28% |
27% |
25% |
66% |
26% |
7% |
According to this poll, Hillary wins AAs 72% to 17%, a 55% margin. She wins Hispanics/Latinos 61% to 36%. She wins women 64% to 28%. She wins with people making under 40k income 62% to 30%, between 40k and 80k 55% to 37%, and those making over 80k 70% to 21%.
.
ILLINOIS
The second largest prize on March 15th’s Super Tuesday II lineup is Illinois, with 182 total delegates at stake. A poll out today shows the following result:
Hillary 67%, Bernie 25%
Clinton holds commanding lead over Sanders in Illinois
Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton holds a commanding lead in her native state over U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders ahead of next Tuesday's Illinois primary election, a new Chicago Tribune poll has found.
The survey showed Clinton outpacing Sanders by a better than 2-to-1 margin, with 67 percent saying they'd vote for the former secretary of state and 25 percent saying they'd back the Vermont senator. Another 8 percent were undecided.
A 42% lead in Illinois, as per this poll. Hillary is poised to win Illinois by strong double-digit margins, that much is quite obvious at this point.
Clinton swept nearly every demographic and geographic category among Illinois Democratic voters. And nearly 4 of 5 voters had a favorable opinion of Clinton, who was born in Chicago and grew up in suburban Park Ridge, compared to about 6 in 10 with a favorable view of Sanders.
Hillary enjoys an almost 80% favorable rating in the state, Bernie is near 60% on that metric.
Black voters:
The survey found Clinton's strongest support came from African-Americans, with 76 percent of black voters saying they'd vote for her compared with 16 percent for Sanders. An overwhelming 85 percent of black voters had a favorable impression of Clinton while just 4 percent had an unfavorable view. By contrast, only 44 percent of black voters said they had a favorable view of Sanders while 18 percent said they had an unfavorable opinion.
Hillary enjoys a 60% margin with AA voters in Illinois. Her favorable numbers have her at a net of +81% with AAs, while Bernie’s net is +26%.
Hispanic voters:
Among Hispanics, Clinton led Sanders 74 percent to 19 percent. Similar to the numbers with black voters, nearly 75 percent of Hispanic voters had a favorable impression of Clinton while just 48 percent said the same about Sanders.
Among Hispanics Hillary enjoys a 55% margin in this poll. Her favorable numbers with Hispanics are 27% better than Bernie’s.
One bright spot:
The one bright spot in the poll for Sanders: Like other states, he held the upper hand with the youngest voters in Illinois.
Among Democratic voters ages 18 to 35, Sanders had 56 percent to 44 percent for Clinton. But voters ages 36 to 49 broke for Clinton, 51 percent to 43 percent. She also dominated among voters older than 50, with nearly 70 percent of voters favoring Clinton.
Bernie has the upper hand with young voters, Hillary with all other age groups.
.
OHIO
The third largest prize on March 15 is Ohio with a total of 159 delegates at stake. A new poll out today has the following findings:
Hillary 56%, Bernie 35%, a 21% margin.
PPP Poll: Clinton Enjoys 21-Point Lead In Ohio
The poll’s PDF:
www.publicpolicypolling.com/…
A synopsis of some of the findings:
Ohio AAs: Hillary 74%, Bernie 12%
Whites: Hillary 51%, Bernie 42%
Women: Hillary 59% Bernie 30%
Men: Hillary 51%, Bernie 42%
18 to 45: Hillary 41%, Bernie 50%
46 to 65: Hillary 62%, Bernie 28%
Over 65: Hillary 70%, Bernie 22%
.
NEW YORK
A month after March 15 comes New York, the second most delegate rich state with a total of 292 total delegates at state. A new poll out yesterday from Siena College had the following findings:
Hillary 55%, Bernie 34%, a 21% lead.
Clinton & Trump Continue Hold Commanding Leads in New York in Their Respective Party Primaries
Hillary Clinton maintains her 21-point lead over Bernie Sanders, 55-34 percent, exactly the same as it was last month, according to a new Siena College poll of New York State registered voters released today.
The numbers aren’t budging. Hillary is holding the same 21% lead she had a month ago in New York.
“Hillary’s lead over Bernie among Democrats is unchanged since last month. She has the support of 55 percent of Democrats in every region of the state, leading him by 21 points in New York City, 24 points in the downstate suburbs and 19 points upstate. She leads by 10 points with men and 28 points with women. While Sanders has a 17-point lead with Democrats under 35, Clinton leads by 39 points with those 55 and older,” Greenberg said.
Also out between today and yesterday a few other polls:
MARYLAND
Hillary 57%, Bernie 26%, a margin of 31%.
baltimore.cbslocal.com/…
Finally, the poll asked about the Democratic presidential candidates. Former Senator and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has a broad lead over Senator Bernie Sanders. She’s ahead by over 30 points.
Fifty-seven percent of Democrats say they will vote for Clinton. Twenty-six percent support Sanders and 17% are undecided. Among African-Americans, she beats him 71% to 10%.
IDAHO
Hillary 45%, Bernie 47%, a margin favoring Bernie of 2%
idahopoliticsweekly.com/…
The key result, of course, is among Idaho Democrats.
A month ago Clinton held a 12-percentage point lead among Democrats.
But that has disappeared, found Jones.
Now, Sanders leads Clinton among Democrats, 47-45 percent.
Political independents, who can vote March 22, really favor Sanders, 42-19 percent, over Clinton – who despite her Idaho showing appears well on her way to winning the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination.
.
CONCLUSION:
Except for the Idaho caucus forecast the polls shows uniformly good news for Hillary over the last 2 days for the next contests and beyond. Of course, people still have to go out and vote, polls are polls, voting is where it is at. If you are in one of the remaining states, look at the primary calendar to make sure that you are a registered voter to avoid running afoul registration deadlines. Also, if you are interested, canvass, phone bank, drive people to register and on voting day see if you can drive someone in need of help to the voting places.
All methodologies are listed in the various polls’ links.